Publications
Recently Published
Workforce Development for the Developing World, Center for International Development, Harvard Kennedy School, July 2026
Righting Globalization’s Wrongs, F&D Magazine, International Money Fund, June 2026
The Global Economic Transformation Will Be Local, Project Syndicate (Dani Rodrik and Rohan Sandhu), January 6, 2026
Places versus People: The Ins and Outs of Labor Market Adjustment to Globalization Handbook of Labor Economics, forthcoming. (with David Autor, David Dorn, Maggie R. Jones, and Bradley Setzler)
Local Energy Access and Industry Specialization: Evidence from World War II Emergency Pipelines Journal of Economic History, forthcoming. (with Jacob Greenspon)
Where Have All the Good Jobs Gone? Changes in the Geography of Work in the US, 1980-2021, Handbook of Urban and Regional Economics, forthcoming. (with Enrico Moretti)
"Using Satellite Imagery to Measure the Impacts of New Highways: An Application to India" Journal of International Economics, forthcoming (with Kathryn Baragwanath Amit Khandelwal, Chen Liu and Gogeun Park)
“Trading Places: Mobility Responses of Native and Foreign-Born Adults to the China Trade Shock,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, forthcoming special issue in honor of George Borjas (with David Autor and David Dorn)
"US Immigration from Latin America in Historical Perspective", Journal of Economics Perspectives, Winter 2023, 37(1): 199-222 (with Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zvavodny)
"Washington's New Trade Consensus and What It Gets Wrong" Foreign Affairs, January/February 2024
Publications by Area
Righting Globalization’s Wrongs, F&D Magazine, International Money Fund, June 2026
Places versus People: The Ins and Outs of Labor Market Adjustment to Globalization Handbook of Labor Economics, forthcoming. (with David Autor, David Dorn, Maggie R. Jones, and Bradley Setzler)
“Trading Places: Mobility Responses of Native and Foreign-Born Adults to the China Trade Shock,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, forthcoming special issue in honor of George Borjas (with David Autor and David Dorn)
"Washington's New Trade Consensus and What It Gets Wrong" Foreign Affairs, January/February 2024
"How Commerce Can Save the Climate, The Case for a Green Free Trade Agreement." Foreign Affairs, March/April 2023 (with Matthew J. Slaughter)
"The G20’s Role in Fostering Trade and Investment", New Normal, New Technologies, New Financing, New Normal, Edited by Lili Yan Ing and Dani Rodrik, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia, June 2022:64-75.
"The China Shock's Lessons for the Green Economy", Foreign Affairs, November 8, 2021
"On the Persistence of the China Shock", Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Fall 2021: 381 - 447 (with David Autor, David Dorn)
"Can Trade Work for Workers? The Right Way to Redress Harms and Redistribute Gains" Foreign Affairs, 2021, 100(3)
Who Will Fill China's Shoes? the Global Evolution of Labor-Intensive Manufacturing, East Asian Economic Review, 22(4), 2020: 313-336.
“Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure.” American Economic Review, 2020, 110(10):3139-83. Online Appendix (with David Autor, David Dorn, and Kaveh Majlesi)
“Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from US Patents,” American Economic Review Insights, 2020, 2 (3): 357-74. Online Appendix (with David Autor, David Dorn, Gary Pisano, and Pian Shu).
"When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage-Market Value of Men," American Economic Review: Insights, 2019, 1(2): 161–178, with David Autor and David Dorn.
“The China Shock: Learning about Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade,” Annual Review of Economics, 8, 2016: 205-240, with David Autor and David Dorn.
“Import Competition and the Great US Employment Sag of the 2000s,” Journal of Labor Economics, 34(S1, part 2), 2016: S141-S198, with Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, David Dorn, and Brendan Price.
"Untangling Trade and Technology: Evidence from Local Labor Markets," Economic Journal, 125(584), 2015: 621-646, with David Autor and David Dorn.
"Adjustment to Trade: Worker Level Evidence," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129(4), 2014: 1799-1860, with David Autor, David Dorn, and Jae Song. Online Appendix.
“Return of the Solow Paradox? IT, Productivity and Employment in U.S. Manufacturing.” American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 104(5), 2014: 394-399, with Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, David Dorn, and Brendan Price.
"The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States," American Economic Review, 103(6), 2013: 2121-2168., with David Autor and David Dorn. China Syndrome_Theory Appendix.
"The Geography of Trade and Technology Shocks in the United States." American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 103(3), 2013: 220-225, with David Autor and David Dorn.
"Exporting Christianity: Governance and Doctrine in the Globalization of US Denominations," Journal of International Economics, 91(2), 2013: 301-320, with Chong Xiang.
"The Rise of Middle Kingdoms: Emerging Economies in Global Trade," Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(2), 2012, 41-64.
"Volatility due to Outsourcing: Theory and Evidence," Journal of International Economics, 85(2), 2011: 163-173, with Paul Bergin and Robert Feenstra.
"Trade Barriers and Trade Flows with Product Heterogeneity: An Application to U.S. Motion Picture Exports," Journal of International Economics, 83, 2011: 14-26, with Chong Xiang.
"Why Isn't Mexico Rich?" Journal of Economic Literature, December 48(4), 2010: 987-1004.
"Export-Led Growth v2.0", Economic Premise, Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Network, The World Bank, March 2010, Number 3, with Otaviano Canuto and Mona Haddad.
"China and the Manufacturing Exports of Other Developing Countries," in Robert Feenstra and Shang Jin Wei, eds., China's Growing Role in World Trade, Chicago: University of Chicago Press and the NBER, 2010, 137-159. (with Raymond Robertson)
"Offshoring and Volatility: Evidence from Mexico's Maquiladora Indsutry," American Economic Review, September (2009): 1664-1671. (with Paul Bergin and Robert Feenstra)
"International Trade in Motion Picture Services," in Matthew Slaughter and Marshall Reinsdorf, eds., International Flows of Invisibles: Trade in Services and Intangibles in the Era of Globalization, Chicago: University of Chicago Press and the NBER, 2009, 203-225. (with Chong Xiang)
"Globalization, Labor Income, and Poverty in Mexico," in Ann Harrison, ed., Globalization and Poverty, Chicago: University of Chicago Press and the National Bureau of Economic Research, 2007, 417-456.
"Vertical Production Networks in Multinational Firms," Review of Economics and Statistics, November 2005: 664-678, with Raymond Mataloni and Matthew Slaughter.
"Ownership and Control in Outsourcing to China: Estimating the Property Rights Theory of the Firm," Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2005, 120(2): 729-762, with Robert Feenstra. Appendix.
"Intermediaries in Entrepôt Trade: Hong Kong Re-Exports of Chinese Goods," Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, 13(2004): 3-36, with Robert Feenstra.
"Technology, Trade, and Adjustment to Immigration in Israel," European Economic Review, 48(2004): 403-428, with Matthew Slaughter and Neil Gandal.
"What Has Happened to Wages in Mexico since NAFTA?" in Toni Estevadeordal, Dani Rodrick, Alan Taylor, Andres Velasco, eds., FTAA and Beyond: Prospects for Integration in the Americas, Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2004.
“Immigration and Occupational Comparative Advantage.” Journal of International Economics, 145 (2023) 103809. (with Chen Liu)
"International Migration and Human Rights," in Katherine Hite and Mark Unger, eds., Sustaining Human Rights in the Twenty-First Century, Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013, 245-266.
"Birthrates and Border Crossings: Latin American Migration to the US, Canada, Spain, and the UK," Economic Journal, 122(562), 2012, 707–726, with Craig McIntosh.
"Income Maximization and the Selection and Sorting of International Migrants," Journal of Development Economics, Journal of Development Economics, 95(1), 2011: 42-57, with Jeff Grogger.
"International Migration and Development," in Ravi Kanbur and A. Michael Spence, eds., Equity in a Global World, Washington, DC: The World Bank, 2010, 229-262.
"International Migration and the Developing World," in Dani Rodrik and Mark Rosenzweig, eds., Handbook of Development Economics, Vol. 5, Amsterdam: North Holland, 2010, 4363-4414.
"The Governance of Migration Policy," Journal of Human Development and Capabilities, May 11(2), 2010: 185-208.
"The Economic Consequences of International Migration," Annual Review of Economics, 1(2009): 179-208.
"Community Partnership Visas How Immigration Can Boost Local Economies", American Academy of Arts & Sciences, 2025.
"US Immigration from Latin America in Historical Perspective", Journal of Economics Perspectives, Winter 2023, 37(1): 199-222 (with Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zvavodny)
“Immigration and Occupational Comparative Advantage.” Journal of International Economics, forthcoming. (with Chen Liu)
Immigration and Regional Specialization in AI, NBER Working Paper 28671, in Lili Yan Ing and Gene Grossman, eds., Robots and AI: A New Economic Era, Routledge, 2022, 180-231.
"America Needs More Immigration to Defeat Inflation," Foreign Affairs, December 19, 2022. (with Matthew J. Slaughter)
“Deterring Illegal Entry: Migrant Sanctions and Recidivism in Border Apprehensions,” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, forthcoming. (with Samuel Bazzi, Sarah Burns, Bryan Roberts, and John Whitley)
"Tradability and the Labor-Market Impact of Immigration: Theory and Evidence from the U.S.," Econometrica, 2020, 88(3): 1071-1112. (with Ariel Burstein, Lin Tian and Jonathan Vogel)
“The Rise and Fall of U.S. Low-Skilled Immigration,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2017, with Chen Liu and Craig McIntosh.
“High-Skilled Immigration and the Comparative Advantage of Foreign Born Workers across US Occupations,” in High-Skilled Migration to the United States and its Economic Consequences, University of Chicago Press, 2017, with Chen Liu.
“High-Skilled Immigration and the Rise of STEM Occupations in US Employment,” in Education, Skills, and Technical Change: Implications for Future U.S. GDP Growth, University of Chicago Press, 2016, with Matthew Slaughter.
“Is the Mediterranean the New Rio Grande? US and EU Immigration Pressures in the Long Run.” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 30(4), 2016: 1-25, with Craig McIntosh.
"Attracting Talent: Location Choices of Foreign Born PhDs in the US," Journal of Labor Economics, 33(S1), 2015: S5-S38, with Jeffrey Grogger.
"Talent, Immigration, and U.S. Economic Competitiveness." Compete America, May 2013, with Matthew J. Slaughter.
"The Scale and Selectivity of Foreign Born PhD Recipients in the U.S." American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 103(3), 2013: 189-92, with Jeffrey Grogger.
"Substitution between Immigrants, Natives and Skill Groups," Journal of the European Economic Association, 10(1), 2012, with George Borjas and Jeffrey Grogger.
"The Great Mexican Emigration," Review of Economics and Statistics, November 92(4), 2010: 798-810, with Craig McIntosh.
"Future Directions for Research on Immigration," American Economic Association White Paper for Future Research in the Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences, October 2010.
"Illegal Immigration: Considering the Costs and Benefits," The American: The Journal of the American Enterprise Institute, October 1, 2010.
"Immigration and the Economic Status of African-American Men," Economica, April 77(306), 2010: 255-282, with George Borjas and Jeff Grogger.
"The Economics and Policy of Illegal Immigration in the United States," Migration Policy Institute Report, December 2009.
"The Demography of Mexican Migration to the US," American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, May 99(2009): 22–27. (with Craig McIntosh)
"Individual Preferences over High-Skilled Immigration in the United States," in Jagdish Bhagwati and Gordon Hanson, eds., Skilled Immigration Today: Problems, Prospects, and Policies, Oxford University Press, 2009, 207-246. (with Kenneth Scheve and Matthew Slaughter)
"Public Finance and Individual Preferences over Globalization Strategies," Economics and Politics, 19(2007): 1-33, with Kenneth Scheve and Matthew Slaughter.
"Emigration, Remittances, and Labor Force Participation in Mexico," Integration and Trade Journal, 27(2007): 73-103.
"The Economic Logic of Illegal Immigration," Council Special Report No. 26, Council on Foreign Relations, April 2007.
"Emigration, Labor Supply and Earnings in Mexico," in George Borjas, ed., Mexican Immigration, Chicago: University of Chicago Press and the National Bureau of Economic Research, 2007, 289-328.
"Illegal Migration from Mexico to the United States," Journal of Economic Literature, December 44(2006): 869-924.
"International Migration, Self-Selection, and the Distribution of Wages: Evidence from Mexico and the United States," Journal of Political Economy, April 2005, 113(2): 239-281, with Daniel Chiquiar.
“Why Does Immigration Divide America? Public Finance and Political Opposition to Open Borders,” Washington DC: Institute for International Economics, 2005.
"Challenges for US Immigration Policy," in C. Fred Bergsten, ed., The United States and the World Economy: Foreign Economic Policy for the Next Decade, Washington DC: Institute of International Economics, 2005, 343-372.
Workforce Development for the Developing World, Center for International Development, Harvard Kennedy School, July 2026
The Global Economic Transformation Will Be Local, Project Syndicate (Dani Rodrik and Rohan Sandhu), January 6, 2026
Local Energy Access and Industry Specialization: Evidence from World War II Emergency Pipelines Journal of Economic History, forthcoming. (with Jacob Greenspon)
Where Have All the Good Jobs Gone? Changes in the Geography of Work in the US, 1980-2021, Handbook of Urban and Regional Economics, forthcoming. (with Enrico Moretti)
"Using Satellite Imagery to Measure the Impacts of New Highways: An Application to India" Journal of International Economics, forthcoming (with Kathryn Baragwanath Amit Khandelwal, Chen Liu and Gogeun Park)
"Local Labor Market Impacts of the Energy Transition: Prospects and Policies" Economic Policy in a More Uncertain World, 2023, Aspen Institute.
“Using Neural Networks to Predict Micro-Spatial Economic Growth,” American Economic Review: Insights, 2022, 4(4): 491–506. (with Arman Khachiyan, Anthony Thomas, Huye Zhou, Alex Cloninger, Tajana Rosing, Amit Khandelwal)
“Detecting Urban Markets with Satellite Imagery: An Application to India,” Journal of Urban Economics, 2021, 125 (103173), (with Kathryn Baragwanath, Ran Goldblatt, Amit Khandelwal)
“Utilizing Publicly Available Satellite Data for Urban Research: Mapping Built-up Land Cover and Land Use in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam,” Development Engineering, 2018, 3: 83-99. with Klaus Deininger and Ran Goldblatt.
"Using Landsat and Nighttime Lights to Map Urban Land Cover: A Novel Approach for Supervised Pixel-Based Image Classification,” Remote Sensing and the Environment, forthcoming. (with Ran Goldblatt, Michelle Stuhlmacher, Beth Tellman, Nicholas Clinton, Matei Georgescu, and Amit K. Khandelwal).
“Detecting the Boundaries of Urban Areas in India: A Dataset for Pixel-Based Image Classification in Google Earth Engine,” Remote Sensing, 2016 (8)8, 634, with Ran Goldblatt, Amit Khandelwal, and Wei You.
"Market Potential, Increasing Returns, and Geographic Concentration," Journal of International Economies, September 2005, 67(1): 1-24.
"The Home Market Effect and Bilateral Trade Patterns," American Economic Review, September 2004, 94: 1108-1129, with Chong Xiang.